Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.046735 0.050924 0.055179 0.059817 0.064723 0.069750 0.075283
2024-12-15 0.039148 0.045160 0.051503 0.058666 0.066501 0.074787 0.084182
2024-12-22 0.035173 0.042663 0.050830 0.060330 0.071016 0.082600 0.096047
2024-12-29 0.031485 0.040033 0.049642 0.061125 0.074359 0.089021 0.106378
2025-01-05 0.028417 0.037766 0.048576 0.061813 0.077402 0.095001 0.116191
2025-01-12 0.025226 0.035036 0.046696 0.061313 0.078883 0.099067 0.123748
2025-01-19 0.023205 0.033530 0.046107 0.062198 0.081880 0.104827 0.133249
2025-01-26 0.020816 0.031346 0.044502 0.061684 0.083069 0.108364 0.140089
2025-02-02 0.019087 0.029864 0.043645 0.061980 0.085155 0.112916 0.148111
2025-02-09 0.017937 0.029049 0.043556 0.063174 0.088301 0.118729 0.157661
2025-02-16 0.017439 0.029074 0.044527 0.065704 0.093123 0.126619 0.169790
2025-02-23 0.015246 0.026557 0.041972 0.063517 0.091855 0.126909 0.172565
2025-03-02 0.013735 0.024941 0.040585 0.062848 0.092551 0.129709 0.178556
2025-03-09 0.012461 0.023577 0.039466 0.062474 0.093589 0.132927 0.185087
2025-03-16 0.012089 0.023559 0.040232 0.064671 0.098032 0.140515 0.197179
2025-03-23 0.011419 0.023022 0.040213 0.065757 0.100992 0.146223 0.206945
2025-03-30 0.010741 0.022419 0.040055 0.066619 0.103641 0.151537 0.216244
2025-04-06 0.009774 0.021262 0.039009 0.066167 0.104467 0.154462 0.222489
2025-04-13 0.009245 0.020798 0.038975 0.067142 0.107235 0.159936 0.232043
2025-04-20 0.008405 0.019725 0.037947 0.066621 0.107899 0.162616 0.237979
2025-04-27 0.007824 0.019063 0.037518 0.066947 0.109721 0.166826 0.245919
2025-05-04 0.007488 0.018819 0.037730 0.068213 0.112862 0.172809 0.256206
2025-05-11 0.007460 0.019148 0.038869 0.070886 0.118022 0.181546 0.270178